Statistical projections for NRL, AFL, NBA, MLB, EPL and international football. Every number is locked to a committed file before kickoff, then scored against the official result — wins and losses alike. No backfilling, no cherry-picked record, no hot picks.
No account needed. Projections and player signals are free on every game, every sport.
Edge Analytics sells data and tools — model projections, market comparisons, and the evidence behind them. What you do with the numbers is your call.
A projected result, a win probability, and the gap between the model and the market for every fixture on the slate — across every sport we run.
On every game. Every prop selection is graded in public and they stay free — what a membership buys is the positional data underneath.
The positional data underneath the projection, on every game and every sport. This is what a membership actually buys.
Every sport runs its own pipeline, but they all follow the same contract — and where a model is simple, we say so rather than dress it up.
Official box-score and stats feeds, injury and late-out lists, venue and weather, and sportsbook lines — pulled fresh for each slate.
Monte Carlo game simulation for NBA and MLB, distributional player-stat models for AFL, per-sport engines elsewhere. The method for each is written out in full.
Raw simulator output is never published. Each probability passes through a calibration fitted on settled results, and signals that fail sanity checks are dropped.
Anyone can show you a winning week. The useful question is what the record looks like when nobody gets to choose which weeks count.
Each projection is committed to a versioned file while the game is still ahead of us. The timestamp is part of the record.
Every settled projection is scored and published on the Accuracy page — the losing runs included, at the same size as the winning ones.
No projection is added, edited or removed after the fact. A model that was wrong stays wrong in the record.
Rates come with confidence intervals, and a sport stays marked tracking — with no headline number — until enough has settled to mean anything.
An automated validation gate decides what this site is allowed to say. It compares every model against the closing market, and a sport only earns a performance claim once its skill score clears the market with a confidence interval that stays above zero. Right now no sport has cleared that bar — so you'll find no ROI figure, no profit total and no claim of an edge anywhere on this site. When one clears it, we'll show you the working for that too.
A sport appears with a public accuracy record only once its projections have started settling. Until then it's marked as tracking, and we say so plainly. One sport — AFL — publishes probabilities derived from bookmaker odds rather than an independent model. It's graded the same way, but it isn't ours, and we label it as such.
One paid tier, every sport. We stopped selling per-sport plans because they granted the same access as the bundle — charging differently for identical access was a misrepresentation, not a pricing decision.
All prices in Australian dollars. Stripe converts to your local currency at checkout.
No. We sell data and tools — model projections, market comparisons and the evidence behind them. Our accuracy record is public. What you do with the numbers is up to you.
Check the Accuracy page — every settled projection is graded there, including the losing runs. We'd rather show you real numbers than promise you anything.
Positional data and heat maps on every game, across every sport. Projections, player signals and analyst notes stay free — see Pricing for the full split.
Every plan starts with a 7-day free trial, billed securely through Stripe. Cancel anytime — access runs to the end of your billing period.
Free, every sport, every game.